Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Pending Home Sales Slide in October

From Calculated Risk: Pending Home Sales Decline in October

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in October, slipped 0.7 percent to 88.9 from an upwardly revised reading of 89.5 in September, and is 1.0 percent below October 2007 when it was 89.8.

Existing home sales have been boosted by all the distress sales in low priced areas. Over time, as foreclosure activity shifts to middle and upper income areas, existing home sales will probably decline.

Existing home sales are reported at the close of escrow, pending home sales are reported when contracts are signed. The Pending Home Sales index leads existing home sales by about 45 days, so this suggests existing home sales will decline in December (from November).

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