Saturday, November 8, 2008

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Commercial Property Bonds vs. Corporate Bonds. Which is better?

Many corporate bonds are offering high-yield returns right now, trading less than its face value while still relative stable. Commercial real estate starts to get hit hard while office and mall vacancy rate shooting to the roof and it is not going to get recovered in anytime soon. Which is relative better? Commercial Property Bond or Corporate Bond? Is Commercial Property Bond going to become junk bond and worth almost nothing just like residential?

According to CNBC:

"Commercial real estate—like its much bigger residential cousin—is starting to get hammered by the credit crisis and slumping economy. But for investors, the news isn't all bad.

Regional banks and some real estate investment trusts, or REITs, are likely to get hit hard as delinquencies on commercial real estate loans rise. But oddly, commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS, are offering outsized gains with less risk than you might think.

Commercial-mortgage securities are in far better shape than their residential counterparts, even though they've been sold off as investors dump anything related to real estate. That's because the underwriting standards have typically been tighter for CMBS, especially in recent years when people could get residential mortgages with little or no documentation.

Roughly 80 percent of CMBS bonds are still rated Triple A. They're also structured so that investors are largely insulated from anything but large-scale defaults.

Another reason is that investors get much more information about the health of the commercial mortgages, allowing them to bypass the credit rating agencies."

Saturday, November 1, 2008

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Rogers International Commodity Index

The Rogers International Commodity Index (RICI) (Yahoo Finance ^RCT) is a composite, U.S. dollar-based, total return index created by James Beeland Rogers, Jr. (“Rogers”) on July 31, 1998. The RICI was designed to meet the need for consistent investing in a broad based international vehicle; it represents the value of a basket of commodities consumed in the global economy, ranging from agricultural to energy to metal products. The value of this basket is tracked via futures contracts on 36 different exchange-traded physical commodities, quoted in four currencies, listed on eleven exchanges in five countries.

Below is a current list of the futures contracts comprising the RICI, together with their respective symbols, exchanges, currencies and initial weightings:

Contract Exchange Currency Initial Weighting
Crude Oil NYMEX USD 21.00%
IPE Brent ICE USD 14.00%
Wheat CBOT USD 7.00%
Aluminum LME USD 4.00%
Copper LME USD 4.00%
Corn CBOT USD 4.75%
Heating Oil NYMEX USD 1.80%
IPE Gasoil ICE USD 1.20%
RBOB Gasoline NYMEX USD 3.00%
Natural Gas NYMEX USD 3.00%
Cotton NYCE USD 4.05%
Soybeans CBOT USD 3.25%
Gold COMEX USD 3.00%
Live Cattle CME USD 2.00%
Coffee CSCE USD 2.00%
Zinc LME USD 2.00%
Silver COMEX USD 2.00%
Lead LME USD 2.00%
Rice CBOT USD 0.50%
Soybean Oil CBOT USD 2.00%
Platinum COMEX USD 1.80%
Lean Hogs CME USD 1.00%
Sugar CSCE USD 2.00%
Azuki Beans TGE JPY 0.25%
Cocoa CSCE USD 1.00%
Nickel LME USD 1.00%
Tin LME USD 1.00%
Greasy Wool SFE AUS 0.25%
Rubber TOCOM JPY 1.00%
Lumber CME USD 1.00%
Barley WCE CAD 0.27%
Canola WCE CAD 0.67%
Orange Juice NYCE USD 0.66%
Oats CBOT USD 0.50%
Palladium COMEX USD 0.30%
Soybean Meal CBOT USD 0.75%

How to invest in RICI? Can it be invested in Mutual Fund?

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Saturday, October 25, 2008

How Debt Bites Back

How Debt Bits Back

Click for larger image

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