Monday, January 5, 2009

Construction Spending Declines in November

From Calculated Risk: Construction Spending Declines in November
Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $756.4 billion, 1.5 percent (±1.1%) below the revised October estimate of $767.7 billion. Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $328.3 billion in November, 4.2 percent (±1.3%) below the revised October estimate of $342.6 billion. Nonresidential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $428.2 billion in November, 0.7 percent (±1.1%)* above the revised October estimate of $425.1 billion.

Residential spending fell at a 4.1% rate in November to $336.3 billion, 22.8% lower than November 2007. Despite the credit crunch and worsening economy, nonresidential spending showed surprising resilience, rising 1% during the month to $742.1 billion, up 9.2% from the previous year. But how long can Non-residential spending keep up?

From Calculated Risk: Non-residential Structure Investment vs. Residential Investment
Typically non-residential investment in structures trails residential investment by about 5 quarters. Although a 5 quarter lag is the best fit, non-residential investment typically trails residential investment by 3 to 8 quarters.

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